Ebook {Epub PDF} The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success Cited by: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto) by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. Skip to content. Sign In; Register; Help; The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto) by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. Used; Condition Used - Good ISBN 10 ISBN 13 The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable essayist and trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who fi nds something rotten in misguided yet supremely confi dent investment The Black Swan.

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Reviewed by David Aldous MARCH NOTICES OF THE AMS The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Nassim Nicholas Taleb Random House, US$, pages ISBN: Taleb has made his living (and a small fortune, perhaps transformed into a large fortune by the. The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable is a book that focuses on what has now come to be known as the Black Swan Theory. Through a number of examples, the author aims to show his readers how rare and unpredictable events have a deep and lasting impact on a person's life. The hubris of predictions — and our perpetual surprise when the not-predicted happens — are themes of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's engaging new book, "The Black Swan.".

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a book by author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events—and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively. Taleb calls this the Black Swan theory. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/ By Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Ap. Before the discovery of Australia, people in the old world were convinced that all swans were white, an unassailable belief as it seemed completely.